What
is Risk Management?
Risk management is the process of measuring, or assessing risk and then developing strategies to manage the risk while attempting to maximize returns. Typically involves utilizing a variety of trading techniques, models and financial analyses.
The potential return from any investment is generally depending to the amount of risk the investor is willing to assume.
Investors will not take on greater risks without the possibility of higher earnings. This is called the risk premium.
Risk management is the process of measuring, or assessing risk and then developing strategies to manage the risk while attempting to maximize returns. Typically involves utilizing a variety of trading techniques, models and financial analyses.
The potential return from any investment is generally depending to the amount of risk the investor is willing to assume.
Investors will not take on greater risks without the possibility of higher earnings. This is called the risk premium.
Common
types of Risk
There are two common risks that investors should notice them well:
Market Risk: The possibility that the value of financial markets rise or fall.
Inflation Risk: The risk that rising prices of goods and services over time, Inflation risk is also known as 'purchasing-power risk' and it is one of the most important factors for long-term investing.
You can't control the inflation risk, but with a good strategy you can manage and control the affect of market risk on your stocks.
A professional trader always tries to understand and control portfolio risk. Before entering into any trade, good traders first think about how much risk to take and how much risk exposure comes with a particular trade selection. Only then do they allow themselves to think about how much profit they stand to make.
Prudent investors always close their position and exposure if they determine that a portfolio carries too much risk.
There are two common risks that investors should notice them well:
Market Risk: The possibility that the value of financial markets rise or fall.
Inflation Risk: The risk that rising prices of goods and services over time, Inflation risk is also known as 'purchasing-power risk' and it is one of the most important factors for long-term investing.
You can't control the inflation risk, but with a good strategy you can manage and control the affect of market risk on your stocks.
A professional trader always tries to understand and control portfolio risk. Before entering into any trade, good traders first think about how much risk to take and how much risk exposure comes with a particular trade selection. Only then do they allow themselves to think about how much profit they stand to make.
Prudent investors always close their position and exposure if they determine that a portfolio carries too much risk.
Risk
Management for a Trade
1- Before you decide to trade consider to these fundamental principles:
2- Before you trade a stock, know how much you are willing to lose.
3- Check the stock to be sufficiently liquid, can you buy or sell promptly?
4- Determine the cut-loss level before trading.
5- Determine your profit target (take-profit-level).
6- Buy the stock only at an acceptable price level. Use a limit order when you buy a stock.
7- Immediately after the trade has been confirmed, enter the stop-loss-at- market order at your predetermined stop-loss level.
8- Take profit when the trade reaches your profit target.
For example: so many traders determine their cut-loss level 2% of their capital and they call it 2% rule. If you own 1000 shares of X at $100 with a $2 stop loss order in place, your risk is: $2 * 1000 = $2,000. So long as you have capital amounting to at least $100,000 on hand, you would not be considered to be in breach of this "rule".
Portfolio
Risk Management 1- Before you decide to trade consider to these fundamental principles:
2- Before you trade a stock, know how much you are willing to lose.
3- Check the stock to be sufficiently liquid, can you buy or sell promptly?
4- Determine the cut-loss level before trading.
5- Determine your profit target (take-profit-level).
6- Buy the stock only at an acceptable price level. Use a limit order when you buy a stock.
7- Immediately after the trade has been confirmed, enter the stop-loss-at- market order at your predetermined stop-loss level.
8- Take profit when the trade reaches your profit target.
For example: so many traders determine their cut-loss level 2% of their capital and they call it 2% rule. If you own 1000 shares of X at $100 with a $2 stop loss order in place, your risk is: $2 * 1000 = $2,000. So long as you have capital amounting to at least $100,000 on hand, you would not be considered to be in breach of this "rule".
Whit managing the risk of each trade your portfolio risk will be well under control and you manage your portfolio risk actively, but to control your portfolio risk management better notice to this points:
1- Determine your overall cut-loss level. Usually your portfolio should not lose more than 10% of your capital.
2- Diversify your investment in at least six or more different stocks.
3- Know your overall risk tolerance before building up the portfolio.
4- Act quickly when you see your risk limits exceeded.
5- Close out the entire portfolio if it loses to your overall stop-loss level.
12 Basic Stock Investing Rules Every Successful Investor Should
Follow
There are many important things you need to know to trade and invest successfully in the stock market or any other market. 12 of the most important things that I can share with you based on many years of trading experience are enumerated below.
1. Buy
low-sell high. As
simple as this concept appears to be, the vast majority of investors do the
exact opposite. Your ability to consistently buy low and sell high, will
determine the success, or failure, of your investments. Your rate of return is
determined 100% by when you enter the stock market.
2. The stock
market is always right and
price is the only reality in trading. If you want to make money in any market,
you need to mirror what the market is doing. If the market is going down and you
are long, the market is right and you are wrong. If the stock market is going up
and you are short, the market is right and you are wrong.
Other
things being equal, the longer you stay right with the stock market, the more
money you will make. The longer you stay wrong with the stock market, the more
money you will lose.
3. Every
market or stock that goes up will go down and most markets or stocks that have
gone down, will go up. The more extreme the move up or down, the
more extreme the movement in the opposite direction once the trend changes. This
is also known as "the trend always changes rule."
4. If you
are looking for "reasons" that stocks
or markets make large
directional moves, you will probably never know for certain. Since we are
dealing with perception of markets-not necessarily reality, you are wasting your
time looking for the many reasons markets move.
A huge
mistake most investors make is assuming that stock markets are rational or that
they are capable of ascertaining why markets do anything. To make a profit
trading, it is only necessary to know that markets are moving - not why they are
moving. Stock market winners only care about direction and duration, while
market losers are obsessed with the whys.
5. Stock
markets generally move in advance of news or supportive fundamentals -
sometimes months in advance. If you wait to invest until it is totally clear to
you why a stock or a market is moving, you have to assume that others have done
the same thing and you may be too late.
You need
to get positioned before the largest directional trend move takes place. The
market reaction to good or bad news in a bull market will be positive more often
than not. The market reaction to good or bad news in a bear market will be
negative more often than not.
6. The
trend is your friend. Since the trend is the basis of all profit, we need long
term trends to make sizable money. The key is to know when to get aboard a
trend and stick with it for a long period of time to maximize profits. Contrary
to the short term perspective of most investors today, all the big money is made
by catching large market moves - not by day trading or short term stock
investing.
7. You must
let your profits run and
cut your losses quickly if you are to have any chance of being successful.
Trading discipline is not a sufficient condition to make money in the markets,
but it is a necessary condition. If you do not practice highly disciplined
trading, you will not make money over the long term. This is a stock trading
“system” in itself.
8. The
Efficient Market Hypothesis is fallacious and is actually a derivative of the
perfect competition model of capitalism. The Efficient Market Hypothesis at root
shares many of the same false premises as the perfect competition paradigm as
described by a well known economist.
The
perfect competition model is not based on anything that exists on this earth.
Consistently profitable professional traders simply have better information -
and they act on it. Most non-professionals trade strictly on emotion, and lose
much more money than they earn.
The
combination of superior information for some investors and the usual panic as
losses mount caused by buying high and selling low for others, creates
inefficient markets.
9.
Traditional technical and fundamental analysis alone may not enable you to
consistently make money in the markets. Successful
market timing is
possible but not with the tools of analysis that most people employ.
If you
eliminate optimization, data mining, subjectivity, and other such statistical
tricks and data manipulation, most trading ideas are losers.
10. Never
trust the advice and/or ideas of trading software vendors, stock
trading system sellers, market commentators, financial analysts, brokers,
newsletter publishers, trading authors, etc., unless they trade their own money
and have traded successfully for years.
Note
those that have traded successfully over very long periods of time are very few
in number. Keep in mind that Wall Street and other financial firms make money by
selling you something - not instilling wisdom in you. You should make your own
trading decisions based on a rational analysis of all the facts.
11. The worst
thing an investor can do is take a large loss on
their position or portfolio. Market timing can help avert this much too common
experience.
You can
avoid making that huge mistake by avoiding buying things when they are high. It
should be obvious that you should only buy when stocks are low and only sell
when stocks are high.
Since
your starting point is critical in determining your total return, if you buy
low, your long term investment results are irrefutably better than someone that
bought high.
12. The
most successful investing methods should
take most individuals no more than four
or five hours per week and,
for the majority of us, only one or two hours per week with little to no stress
involved.
8 Ways to Reduce Stock
Market Stress
=Do not
watch Bloomberg, CNN, CNBC, or any stock news channel for a lengthy time. All
the news will disrupt your rythm. Remember that the stock market is all about
demand and supply, simply put. You do not need to listen to all those reporters,
who themselves, I bet, are not even investors or traders. Being informed is good
but being too paranoid with news data is not needed.
=Do
listen only to yourself. There will be a lot of rumors in the grapevine
regarding inside information on certain stocks. Take these with a grain of salt.
In fact, treat these as humor only. You are the only one who controls your
investments so you should do your own homework. You will be responsible for all
the sound decisions you make so you have prepare yourself very well and not
follow rumors floating.
=Get
enough sleep every night. Sleeping 6 - 8 hours a night would give you a big
advantage on how you respond and react to market changes during the day compared
to sleeping less than 5 hours a day. Having a good night's rest allows you to be
fresh and gives you a sharp mind to face not only the market challenges but
everyday life as well.
=Have a
plan. Have an investment methodology that caters to your emotional, spiritual
and risk appetite. Develop a methodology that works for you. Investing and
trading according to your working methodically will help you generate wealth and
minimize your losses, thus reducing prolonged stress. Many people get stuck with
bad stocks because they are confident with themselves, do not let this happen to
you.
=Eat
healthy foods. Trading makes use a lot of mental energy and puts stress on your
body. Keep your body well balanced with what you eat. I always eat fresh fruits
everyday usually apple, orange, or kiwi. Try not to make a habit of eating junk
foods and replace it with healthy alternatives like fruits or oat crackers. Why
not even make your favorite fresh fruit juice/shake while the market is open, it
gives you a break from the mental concentration and allows your brain to soothe
itself.
=Surround
yourself with optimistic individuals. Being with people who are stressed and/or
negative vibes would just give you more stress to deal with. Instead, talk to
your trader/investor friends who are optimistic and give sound advice where you
can even learn with.
=Learn to
accept your losses. No trader can win all the time in the stock market. If you
can maximize your profits and minimize greatly your losses then you will find
yourself generating wealth in no time. One of the hardest to learn and one of
the biggest stress inducing aspect are the losses from the stock market. Set on
your methodology an acceptable loss percentage rate and follow it. I set mine at
5%. Whenever I already lost 5% in a stock that I bought, I immediately accept
the loss and sell it. Protecting capital should be the priority. In the stock
market, you should accept humility in what you do as the price is king and you
are just following it.
=Do not
jump the gun. Stop, think, then act. Three simple things you should remember to
avoid stock market stress in the first place. Before you do anything, stop what
your instinct and emotions are telling you. Think about the situation on the
possible risks and rewards you are entering into. Then act upon your best
judgment what you have to do in order to minimize loss and maximize gain.
GOLDEN RULES FOR
TRADING
Divide
your Risk Capital in 10 Equal Parts.
As part
of the Successful money management, it is always advised to divide your Risk
Capital (which you can afford to lose) into 10 equal Parts and at any given time
none of your Single Trade should have more than 3 parts of your capital in it
even if you are in a winning position. At the same time always keep some spare
money for any Buying Opportunity, which may come any time.
Trade
ONLY in active & high Volume Stocks/ Futures.
Many
Traders get stuck with stocks for want of liquidity. Always rely upon Stocks
which have reasonably high volume over a period of time. High Volume are always
advised for easy Entry, Exit and Stop Loss. In low volume stocks the spread is
too high and chance of Stop Loss limit getting failed is too high as there would
be no Buyer or seller at your Stop Loss Level.
Come
Prepared with a Trading Plan
Successful traders always keep their Trading
Plans ready before entering into any transactions. One must prepare a Watch List
or Probable candidates for Day's trading and remain focused on the movement of
those stocks only. For example a Stock 'X' is on verge of a Bullish Breakout
from any pattern or stock 'Y' has declined substantially after an initial sharp
upmove or stock 'Z' is close to an important support level. Successful trader
would concentrate on the movement of those stocks only and enter the trade as
soon as stock 'X' gives the anticipated breakout or stock 'Y' starts an upmove
or stock 'Z' breaks the support level to initiate a trade for quick gains.
Never
Over Trade
This is the most common mistake committed by
Traders, particularly after a Streak of winning Trades. This mistake Generally
not only wipes off all the profits, but puts traders in heavy losses. In order
to remain in market while making consistent Profits, under no circumstances,
traders should go beyond their Risk Capital.
Trade
in 2 to 4 Stocks at a time with strict Stop Loss.
In a Bull
move, most of the stocks move up and similarly in any Bear Move, most of the
stock moves southwards. As a Trader you know this fact but can you Buy 20 Stocks
and try to make profit in all the 20 stocks just because all are moving up or
vice versa in a Down trend? What will happen if market reverses without any
indication on any bad news? Would you be able to monitor all your trades in such
situation? Smart and Successful trader would trade in 2 to 4 stocks with strict
Stop Loss and keep a strict vigil to avoid any misfortune in case of any
eventuality.
Sell
Short as often as you go Long.
More than
90% of common investors/ Traders are 'Bulls' by nature. Because they love to see
prices going up only. Stocks are bought by anybody/ corporate/ financial
institutions/ Mutual Funds to make profit on rise. They have large holdings and
mentally they wish and pray for the market to rise only. But facts are
different. History shows that Bull Phases have shorter duration that Bear
phases. So every stock that moves up will retrace back to 38%-50%-66%. Since 90%
investors are Bulls by heart they normally do not book profit at higher levels
to re-enter later at lower levels instead they prefer to increase their
portfolio at lower levels. Successful Traders know how to capitalize such
correction. They are always prepared to go 'Short' as often as they trade on
'Long' side.
Don't
Trade if you are not Clear.
Many
Traders, because of their daily habits trade even when there are no signals to
buy or short. Normally such situation arrives after a sharp rise or decline when
stocks are adjusting their values. While some stocks attempt to move up, few may
be taking breather before next move. Such situation are often confusing. There
is no harm in taking rest for a day or two or short period if the trend is
choppy, unclear or doubtful, instead of putting your money at higher risk.
Don't
expect Profit on Every Trade.
If you consider you are a smart trader who can
make profit on every trade, you are 100% wrong. Always be flexible and accept
the fact as soon as you realize that you are on wrong side of the trade. Simply
get out of the trade without changing your strategy during the market; it may
cause you double losses.
Withdraw portion of your profits.
The business of Trading is excellent as long as
you are making profits. Unlike other business your losses can be unlimited and
rapid if market does not move as per your expectations. While in other
businesses you may have other remedial measures available but in trading it is
you only who has to control it. Traders have large egos particularly after
series of successful trades and their tendency to enlarge commitments in
overconfidence may cause major financial set back. There fore it is must that
trader must take a portion of the profit and put it in separate account. This is
absolutely must for long term stability in the market.